Sunday, November 16, 2014

Ebola - A simple linear fit on the log2 data value.


I made a simple linear fit on the Log2 values of the Cumulative and Prevalent cases (Prevalent Cases = Cumulative Cases - Cumulative Deaths)

The projections for the end of Nov and Dec are shown on the chart as open circles with the projected numbers of cases alongside.

I make no attempt whatsoever at confidence intervals or the like.





Tuesday, November 11, 2014

World Wide Ebola Cases 11/07/2014



The rather steep jump in the later part of October was due to WHO re-evaluating its database and adjusting the aggregate number of case. It was not a week over week increase from the last point.

Encouraging insomuch as the exponential growth pattern seems to have leveled off.